Budget & Tax

Curtis Shelton | February 15, 2019

Lower oil prices hit January 2019 economic growth

Curtis Shelton

The Oklahoma State Treasurer released the monthly report for January 2019 revenue collections. The report shows Total Gross Receipts collected in January 2019 were $1.24 billion—an 8.9 percent, or $101 million, increase when compared to the same month from the prior year. Lower oil prices have slowed state revenue growth compared to prior years, although continued growth is still expected.

Fiscal Year 2018 vs. Fiscal Year 2019 Total Gross Receipts

New revenue from House Bill 1010xx amounted to $50.3 million, or 50 percent, of the total growth for the month. The change in the gross production tax from 2 percent to 5 percent brought in the largest amount of new revenue at $32 million. The $1 increase for each pack of cigarettes brought in $8.4 million, while the six-cent increase in the diesel fuel tax brought in the smallest amount at $9.9 million. The other half of revenue growth was the result of economic growth.

Change in Total Gross Receipts Legislative Changes vs. Economic Growth

Of the four major tax sources, the gross production tax saw the largest percentage increase year-to-year at 64.7 percent. The income tax, along with motor vehicle taxes, saw the smallest increase at 2.1 percent.

Gross production taxes were at their lowest point since the rate increase from 2 percent to 5 percent last year. While the economy continues to grow, the fall in oil prices has put the expansion on notice. While no major effects have been felt yet, volatile energy prices can have a major impact on how Oklahoma’s economy moves forward.

Curtis Shelton Policy Research Fellow

Curtis Shelton

Policy Research Fellow

Curtis Shelton currently serves as a policy research fellow for OCPA with a focus on fiscal policy. Curtis graduated Oklahoma State University in 2016 with a Bachelors of Arts in Finance. Previously, he served as a summer intern at OCPA and spent time as a staff accountant for Sutherland Global Services.

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